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2024 Elections Forecast

2024 Elections Forecast

2024 Elections Forecast. In forecasting the 2024 presidential election, i created two separate models: Trust markets, not presidential polls.


2024 Elections Forecast

In the four districts having supervisor elections in which registration increased between 2020 and 2024—d1, d3, d9 and d11—progressive candidates beat yimby. While june showed a competitive race with a minor trump advantage, one.

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